Even if that was the case, it could still be an amazing value product for many middle class Western households.
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Cake day: March 18th, 2026
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Only a moron pronounces it like JPEG.



Even ignoring the past event thing, the chance is very high, because the events are naturally correlated. Everybody felt the same raised fuel prices.
Now if it was the chance of uncorrelated events, the chance would be essentially zero.