“The future ain’t what it used to be.”

-Yogi Berra

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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 29th, 2023

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  • Its not even close. This is for a podcast Iʻll be doing later this week:

    If we assume a random prior, Chuck Schumer and Democratic establishment support was a net negative in the primary, where-as association with Hasan Piker was a net positive. And not by a little. Association with Hasan in the primary resulted in a 50% better result in regards to winning their primaries than association with Chuck Schumer. Hasan picks also outperformed Schumer picks in the general by a significant margin. Their ability to convert from primary picks, to won races makes Hasan Piker definitionally a king maker. Their primary picks won their elections.

    You can have different opinions on the particulars of why it may be this way, but you do not have space to have your own facts on the matter. And the fact of the matter is that Hasans involvement, especially early, in these primaries won candidates their elections.




  • I don’t think Piker was that instrumental in how good the Democrat campaigns were this time…

    By the time the general came around, the flywheel was already going. But if this is the extend of your understanding or thinking, youʻve missed almost entirely the whole story and point.

    The point is that Hasan backed and supported candidates months ago who were willing to break with establishment Democrat ties in a manner which actually got people excited and involved. Without Hasan, there is no Abdul El Sayed. They simply donʻt make it through the primary. And without a candidate on the table as exciting and directly confrontational to establishment democrats, there is no Blue-nami. You donʻt get a Blue-nami when its Stevens or Janet Mills across the board: those kinds of candidates decrease turnout.





  • Carville outlined the strategy Jefferies and Schumers deployed: To roll over and play dead while fascism took over. Its not speculation. Its what happened.

    I think it was almost 250k peak on Hasans live stream last night?

    So closer to 0.75%, or 170x your number. And yeah, rounding up to 1% is still a small number. But this treadmill youʻve got us on is just goal posting moving, because across the entirety of politics, its Hasanʻs stream that was putting up those numbers. Political sickoʻs are a small portion of the population; but of that small population, its Hasan who, for the moment, is breaking through.

    This means they have (and the demonstrably have had) disproportionate influence. Carville coasted for 40 years on “Its the economy stupid” and was a central figure of politics after that… What Hasan was a part of last night was an earthquake compared to Carville. Expect to hear their name constantly. Expect us to never shut up about them.







  • Iʻm not asking Hasanʻs opinion. Iʻm making a statement that I donʻt think can be argued with, which is that in several primary races from 2025-2026, Hasan Pikers early involvement brought visibility, volunteers, and legitimacy to candidates who otherwise would have been boxed out as a result of our existing corporate media landscape. Hasan is engaging with candidates who poll are polling at 1%, and getting them the funding and volunteer base to get them to the 10-20% range where a campaign becomes self sufficient the fly wheel process takes a life of its own.

    Hasan has downplayed his influence in the past because if they didnʻt, they would become the target and it could hurt that influence. Its a strategic comment to try and extend the runway they did materially have. Its now undeniable. Hasanʻs name was in the mouth of some of the most powerful peoples mouths in the world the past 3 months. They elevated his profile to this level. And if it had been a shellacking for left wing democrats, that would be the end of it for Hasan. But its the opposite of that. Hasanʻs picks whooped ass.

    Conservative Democrats and “moderates” have been bullying the left for decades. Its turn tables now.